This study aims to construct a quantitative evaluation model for the incidence of cardiovascular disease based on plaque characteristics in patients with coronary atherosclerosis, with the goal of providing robust scientific support for risk prediction and personalized prevention and treatment strategies. Patients with coronary atherosclerosis were selected as research subjects. Imaging characteristics of coronary plaques, including plaque volume, lipid core size, and fibrous cap thickness, were assessed. Clinical data such as age, sex, medical history, and lifestyle habits were also collected. Additionally, the occurrence of cardiovascular disease—including disease types and time of onset—was recorded. Based on these data, a quantitative evaluation model was developed using machine learning algorithms to predict the risk of cardiovascular disease. A quantitative evaluation model for cardiovascular disease incidence was successfully constructed based on plaque characteristics in patients with coronary atherosclerosis. The model integrated imaging features such as plaque volume, lipid core size, and fibrous cap thickness, along with clinical variables, and was built using a random forest algorithm. On the test set, the model achieved an AUC of 0.85, an accuracy of 78.5%, a recall rate of 75.0%, and an F1 score of 76.7%. Among these variables, plaque volume and lipid plaque ratio were identified as the most important predictors. The model can effectively identify high-risk patients, providing strong support for early clinical intervention.
Research Article
Open Access